Flirting with Models

Research Library of Newfound Research

Tag: trend following (Page 1 of 4)

Dollar-Cost Averaging: Improved by Trend?

The choice to lump sum invest (“LSI”) or dollar-cost average (“DCA”) is one fraught with emotion. Intuition tells us that LSI likely offers the best bet for long-term investors as markets, in general, tend to go up. However, can signals derived from simple trend models offer an edge?

How to Benchmark Trend-Following

Benchmarking a trend-following strategy is difficult. The tendency is to compare it to an equity strategy, but this often leads to disappointment. We explore a better benchmark that allows investors to accurately measure performance and set expectations.

Leverage and Trend Following

We typically explore trend following as a risk management technique for investors sensitive to sequence risk, but it may also be a way to allow growth investors to benefit from leverage by reducing the risk of permanent portfolio impairment that would otherwise occur due to large drawdowns.

The Importance of Diversification in Trend Following

Single-asset trend following strategies can play a meaningful role in investor portfolios, but success requires introducing sources of diversification within the strategy. We believe the increased internal diversification allows not only for a higher probability of success.

Risk Ignition with Trend Following

Trend following strategies may represent a beneficial diversifier for conservative portfolios going forward, potentially allowing investors to more fully participate with equity market growth without necessarily fully exposing themselves to equity market risk.

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