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A Carry-Trend-Hedge Approach to Duration Timing
In this research note we discuss three simple signals – term spread, momentum, and prior equity returns – for timing exposure to 10-year U.S. Treasuries.
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Managing Equity Risk When Rates Rise
Managing equity risk when rates rise may be difficult for investors whose risk management plan relies exclusively on asset class diversification.
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Measuring Risk Tolerance
Risk tolerance is a tricky metric to measure. Riskalyze tries to intuitively quantify this, but be careful not to oversimplify this complex portfolio input.
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Decomposing Trend Equity
We decompose trend equity into a strategic allocation and an active trading strategy in effort to create better transparency around portfolio behavior.
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Video Digest: A Trend Equity Primer
A video digest of our most recent weekly research commentary on how trend equity strategies may help hedge left-tail risk in traditional portfolios.
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A Trend Equity Primer
An introduction to trend equity, a strategy that seeks to benefit from the long-term, expected equity risk premium and the convex payoff of trend following.
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The Misleading Lessons of History
Market history can be a potentially misleading guide to the future. Adding more noise to the past returns may create more signal for the future.
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Timing Equity Returns Using Monetary Policy
We explore the relationship between equity returns and contractionary/expansionary monetary policy regimes using a simple simulation-based framework.
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Video Digest: Trade Optimization
A video digest of our most recent weekly research commentary on the role of trade optimization / trade paring in portfolio construction.
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Our Conversation with JD Gardner
The thoughts and commentary of the team at Newfound on our podcast conversation with JD Gardner.
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Video Digest: The State of Risk Management
We walk through our state of risk management research and show how diversification can prevent short-term underperformance and manage sequence risk.
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Trade Optimization
We explore how mixed-integer linear programming can be applied in portfolio trade optimization, potentially helping reduce real-world implementation costs.
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Video Digest: A Factor-Based Approach to Disruptor-Based Sectors
A video digest of our most recent weekly research commentary on using factors to allocate to new products like sector disruptor ETFs.
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The State of Risk Management
We evaluate the state of risk management by exploring the historical performance of eight different risk-managed strategies over the last 20 years.
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A Factor-Based Approach to Disruptor-Based Sectors
Sector disruptors are new products that can be hard to allocate to. The proven history of factors (momentum, etc.) can be a guide.
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Video Digest: Mean Reversion and Bond ETF Returns
A video digest of our most recent weekly research commentary on the evidence of mean reversion in returns for fixed income.
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Our Conversation with Meb Faber
The thoughts and commentary of the team at Newfound on our podcast conversation with Meb Faber.
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Mean Reversion and Bond ETF Returns
The fixed coupon and maturity of bonds act live gravity, causing mean reversion in returns. Short-term underperformance might suggest a positive forecast.
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Video Digest: Measuring Process Diversification in Trend Following
A video digest of our most recent weekly research commentary on measuring process diversification within the context of trend following strategies.
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Measuring Process Diversification in Trend Following
In this research commentary we seek to measure the potential diversification benefits of introducing new ways of measuring trends.
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