Recent Research

Value's recent under-performance has many managers saying that the style looks cheap. We explore the value-of-value through the lens of multiple metrics.

2019 Investor Letter

Newfound Research's 2019 investor letter where we review firm updates and the primary drivers of strategy performance in 2019.

Pursuing Factor Purity

In this research note, we implement a regression-based and optimized-based approach to achieving pure factor portfolios and report the results achieved.

2019 Research Compendium

In 2019, we published 45 research notes (not including video + audio commentary), totaling over 100,000 words.

Timing Trend Model Specification with Momentum

In this piece, we briefly explore whether model specification choices can be timed using momentum within the context of a naïve trend strategy.

Re-specifying the Fama French 3-Factor Model

The standard definition of the value factor may not fully capture the abstract concept of value. Blending many metrics into one factor can be beneficial.

A Conversation on Rebalance Timing Luck

A podcast episode discussing all things rebalance timing luck: what is it; how can we measure it; what influences it; and how can we try to control it.

November 2019 Digest

1. Global Growth-Trend Timing (Link) The Big Question Can economic

Diversification: More Than “What”

A video presentation discussing the multi-dimensional nature of diversification and how trend equity strategies can diversify "how" and "when."

The Dumb (Timing) Luck of Smart Beta

In this research note we explore how performance for smart beta portfolios has been impacted by rebalance timing luck over the last two decades.

The Limit of Factor Timing

Factor timing doesn't require extreme accuracy, but finiding a model that has that accuracy may be difficult. Diversifying is often the best approach.

Global Growth-Trend Timing

In this research note, we continue to evaluate the concept of growth-trend timing: utilizing country economic signals to time trend-following.

October 2019 Digest

Macro Timing with Trend Following (Link) The Big Question Can we

Factor Orphans

We develop and backtest a factor orphan strategy: the basket of stocks not held by any factor strategy at a given time.

Risk-Adjusted Momentum: A Momentum and Low-Volatility Barbell?

We explore whether risk-adjusting momentum scores introduces a meaningful and structural tilt towards low-volatility equities.

Yield Curve Trades with Trend and Momentum

We build stylized portfolios to capture Level, Slope, and Curvature changes in the yield curve and then apply trend and momentum signals to the portfolios.

Macro Timing with Trend Following

Timing when to invest in trend following strategies is hard, but evidence shows it may be done based on the stage of the economic cycle.

Macro and Momentum Factor Rotation

We explore macro- and momentum-driven factor rotation of U.S. equity factors. These methods may not offer much benefit over naïve, equal-weight approach.

Trend Following Active Returns

In this research note, we ask whether trend-following techniques can be applied to the active returns of long-only style portfolios.

Factors and the Glide Path

We derive a multi-asset and equity style-based glide path based upon an investor’s age and net-worth relative to their desired spending level.