Flirting with Models

The Research Library of Newfound Research

Tag: probability

Brexit and Bad Probabilities

Humans are not terribly good at estimating probabilities. We highlight an example of this from recent Brexit commentary.

Math Tests, Birthdays, O.J. Simpson, and Texas Sharpshooters

“Reality Only Happens Once”

Investor must be aware that reality only happens once. Models need to be simple, robust, adaptive and reactive to succeed in future realities.
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