Heads I Win, Tails I Hedge
We explore the application of tactical signals to a rolling put strategy, seeking to minimize long-term costs while still providing meaningful protection.
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Option-Based Trend Following
Option strategies can be used to isolate and quantify the cost of whipsaw in trend following strategies, which can help set expectations on whipsaw.
Read more.Tail Hedging
In this research note we demonstrate that holding to expiration is not a required feature of a successful tail hedging program.
Read more.Straddles and Trend Following
A strategy with straddles can be similar to a trend followings strategy and it can highlight the trade off between insurance premiums and deductibles.
Read more.A L-U-V-Wy Recovery
We simulate different market paths to trace out V-, U-, W-, and L-shaped market recoveries. Given these paths, we test different trend following strategies.
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One Hedge to Rule Them All
There is no perfect hedge for equity market drops. Rather finding a hedge that pays when you need it and costs little when you don't is the goal.
Read more.What the Trend
Why have simple trend models exhibited such significant dispersion in the recent market rout? We go back to basics to set expectations.
Read more.Diversification with Portable Beta
Looking at the passive and active components of a portable beta strategy can shed insight on how they perform individually and interact with each other.
Read more.Payoff Diversification
We explore the 'how' of our what-how-when framework of diversification and demonstrate the idea of "payoff diversification" with rebalancing and momentum.
Read more.Can Managed Futures Offset Equity Losses?
Managed futures strategies have historically provided meaningful positive returns during left-tail equity events, but will the strategy work next time?
Read more.Fighting U.S. FOMO
U.S. investors may feel FOMO after strong years in the market, and battling this feeling is important for the health of their portfolio.
Read more.Re-specifying the Fama French 3-Factor Model
The standard definition of the value factor may not fully capture the abstract concept of value. Blending many metrics into one factor can be beneficial.
Read more.Diversification: More Than “What”
A video presentation discussing the multi-dimensional nature of diversification and how trend equity strategies can diversify "how" and "when."
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Harvesting the Bond Risk Premium
The term premium for bonds is difficult to caputre without de-risking a portfolio. Using levered ETPs can help maintain equity exposure while adding bonds.
Read more.Ensemble Multi-Asset Momentum
We explore the a representative multi-asset momentum model that is similar to many bank-based indexes and implement an ensemble to improve consistency.
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Dynamic Spending in Retirement Monte Carlo
Accounting for potential dynamic spending in retirement in the planning process can paint a better picture of retirement success and failure.
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The Path-Dependent Nature of Perfect Withdrawal Rates
The perfect withdrawal rate in a retirement portfolio contains more risk than meets the eye. The order of returns is extremely important.
Read more.Trend Following in Cash Balance Plans
We explore the application of trend following, and the potential consistency improvements it can introduce, within the framework of a cash balance plan.
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The Monsters of Investing: Fast and Slow Failure
Investors must navigate between the risks of failing fast and slow. Knowing which is most likely to prey on you can inform portfolio design.
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GΜ·ΝΝΝΜΜ±litch
The convexity of trend may be more crisis beta than crisis alpha, where the nature of the crisis is defined by the speed of the trend following system.
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